Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.248021 1.527962 1.891807 2.416412 3.185360 4.330972 6.306571
2025-12-07 0.890410 1.192963 1.648470 2.443147 3.956502 7.221414 17.485700
2025-12-14 0.698311 0.983858 1.452231 2.375278 4.501731 10.870664 54.975128
2025-12-21 0.586435 0.856135 1.326963 2.346736 5.111685 16.728225 389.785039
2025-12-28 0.535906 0.812219 1.328213 2.573551 6.727100 37.000670 NaN
2026-01-04 0.487055 0.758540 1.291583 2.692421 8.295999 89.022956 NaN
2026-01-11 0.439289 0.696814 1.220142 2.681851 9.424367 226.189766 NaN
2026-01-18 0.395614 0.635287 1.133822 2.586767 10.043278 636.979337 NaN
2026-01-25 0.368083 0.600580 1.099224 2.638487 11.864382 91004.247740 NaN
2026-02-01 0.348574 0.578619 1.088802 2.769651 14.999696 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.325159 0.545402 1.043962 2.755431 16.997015 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.301403 0.508668 0.983599 2.655016 17.818826 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.288838 0.494527 0.979607 2.792735 23.463459 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.273150 0.471944 0.949469 2.806511 27.847516 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.256133 0.444713 0.902231 2.720680 29.806160 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.242459 0.423530 0.868306 2.685461 33.632763 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.238412 0.423252 0.892697 2.963014 57.372665 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.231041 0.414600 0.891392 3.109478 88.175065 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.220841 0.398442 0.865025 3.096425 110.830102 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.209450 0.378598 0.824739 2.979253 116.607178 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.202499 0.368625 0.813403 3.042934 175.346042 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.197724 0.363360 0.815908 3.204994 374.801746 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.190287 0.351101 0.794290 3.187386 561.218728 NaN NaN